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Creators/Authors contains: "Busic, Ana"

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  1. There is enormous flexibility potential in the power consumption of the majority of electric loads. This flexibility can be harnessed to obtain services for managing the grid: with carefully designed decision rules in place, power consumption for the population of loads can be ramped up and down, just like charging and discharging a battery, without any significant impact to consumers' needs. The concept is called Demand Dispatch, and the grid resource obtained from this design virtual energy storage (VES). In order to deploy VES, a balancing authority is faced with two challenges: 1. how to design local decision rules for each load given the target aggregate power consumption (distributed control problem), and 2. how to coordinate a portfolio of resources to maintain grid balance, given a forecast of net-load (resource allocation problem).Rather than separating resource allocation and distributed control, in this paper the two problems are solved simultaneously using a single convex program. The joint optimization model is cast as a finite-horizon optimal control problem in a mean-field setting, based on the new KLQ optimal control approach proposed recently by the authors.The simplicity of the proposed control architecture is remarkable: With a large portfolio of heterogeneous flexible resources, including loads such as residential water heaters, commercial water heaters, irrigation, and utility-scale batteries, the control architecture leads to a single scalar control signal broadcast to every resource in the domain of the balancing authority. Keywords: Smart grids, demand dispatch, distributed control, controlled Markov chains. 
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  2. null (Ed.)
    The paper develops distributed control techniques to obtain grid services from flexible loads. The Individual Perspective Design (IPD) for local (load level) control is extended to piecewise deterministic and diffusion models for thermostatically controlled load models.The IPD design is formulated as an infinite horizon average reward optimal control problem, in which the reward function contains a term that uses relative entropy rate to model deviation from nominal dynamics. In the piecewise deterministic model, the optimal solution is obtained via the solution to an eigenfunction problem, similar to what is obtained in prior work. For a jump diffusion model this simple structure is absent. The structure for the optimal solution is obtained, which suggests an ODE technique for computation that is likely far more efficient than policy- or value-iteration. 
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    A new stochastic control methodology is introduced for distributed control, motivated by the goal of creating virtual energy storage from flexible electric loads, i.e. Demand Dispatch. In recent work, the authors have introduced Kullback- Leibler-Quadratic (KLQ) optimal control as a stochastic control methodology for Markovian models. This paper develops KLQ theory and demonstrates its applicability to demand dispatch. In one formulation of the design, the grid balancing authority simply broadcasts the desired tracking signal, and the hetero-geneous population of loads ramps power consumption up and down to accurately track the signal. Analysis of the Lagrangian dual of the KLQ optimization problem leads to a menu of solution options, and expressions of the gradient and Hessian suitable for Monte-Carlo-based optimization. Numerical results illustrate these theoretical results. 
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  5. null (Ed.)
    Stochastic approximation (SA) algorithms are recursive techniques used to obtain the roots of functions that can be expressed as expectations of a noisy parameterized family of functions. In this paper two new SA algorithms are introduced: 1) PolSA, an extension of Polyak's momentum technique with a specially designed matrix momentum, and 2) NeSA, which can either be regarded as a variant of Nesterov's acceleration method, or a simplification of PolSA. The rates of convergence of SA algorithms is well understood. Under special conditions, the mean square error of the parameter estimates is bounded by σ 2 /n+o(1/n), where σ 2 ≥ 0 is an identifiable constant. If these conditions fail, the rate is typically sub-linear. There are two well known SA algorithms that ensure a linear rate, with minimal value of variance, σ 2 : the Ruppert-Polyak averaging technique, and the stochastic Newton-Raphson (SNR) algorithm. It is demonstrated here that under mild technical assumptions, the PolSA algorithm also achieves this optimality criteria. This result is established via novel coupling arguments: It is shown that the parameter estimates obtained from the PolSA algorithm couple with those of the optimal variance (but computationally more expensive) SNR algorithm, at a rate O(1/n 2 ). The newly proposed algorithms are extended to a reinforcement learning setting to obtain new Q-learning algorithms, and numerical results confirm the coupling of PolSA and SNR. 
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  6. null (Ed.)
    The authors develop a theory characterizing optimal stopping times for discrete-time ergodic Markov processes with discounted rewards. The theory differs from prior work by its view of per-stage and terminal reward functions as elements of a certain Hilbert space. In addition to a streamlined analysis establishing existence and uniqueness of a solution to Bellman's equation, this approach provides an elegant framework for the study of approximate solutions. In particular, the authors propose a stochastic approximation algorithm that tunes weights of a linear combination of basis functions in order to approximate a value function. They prove that this algorithm converges (almost surely) and that the limit of convergence has some desirable properties. The utility of the approximation method is illustrated via a computational case study involving the pricing of a path dependent financial derivative security that gives rise to an optimal stopping problem with a 100-dimensional state space 
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  7. We propose a control architecture for distributed coordination of a collection of on/off TCLs (thermostatically con- trolled loads), such as residential air conditioners, to provide the same service to the power grid as a large battery. A key constraint is to ensure that consumers’ quality of service (QoS) is maintained. Our proposal involves replac- ing the thermostats at the loads by a randomized controller, following recent proposals in this direction. The new local controller has a tunable parameter that serves as the control command from the balancing authority (BA). Com- pared to prior work in this area, our proposed architecture can handle large disturbances from the outside temperature. Weather-induced disturbance also imposes an algorithm-independent limit on the capacity of the virtual energy storage the loads can provide. This key limitation, which was ignored in prior work, is incorporated in our formulation in a principled manner. 
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